Fast Forward To Summer Of 2012…

Since this summer has been so slow with L.A. Kings news or anything of interest, I looked at what we have in store this time next year. RFAs? None! Imagine that. UFAs. Here they are:

1. Dustin Penner, $4.25 million

2. Jarret Stoll, $3.6 million

3. Scott Parse, $900,000.00

4. Colin Fra…

4. Kevin Westgarth, $525,000.00

5. Willie Mitchell, $3.5 million

Let’s say we don’t add any salary between now and then and none of the above players get signed. Let’s further say, for the sake of argument, the salary cap stays the same at $64.3 million. Finally, assume Doughty’s cap hit is $7.3 million. Rounded off, our salary is at $48 million. That leaves, again rounded off, about $16 million dollars in cap space.

What do we do with $16 million? Back to the above 5 players.

Dustin Penner intends to be in top shape. He is working his butt (and body fat) off. He scores more than 25 goals, 50 points and shows a commitment on both ends while playing the rough and heavy Terry Murray game and Dean will want to keep him…for the right price. $4.5? Actually, that is about right. The problem is Dustin will want years. He is going to be 30 in September of 2012. This may be his last contract. Does Dean sign him to 4-5 years at $4.5? He would have to have a break out season for that. I say the odds are against it. Penner may walk.

Jarret Stoll wants to remain a Los Angeles King. L.A. fits him. He fits L.A. He is a terrific and consistent face off stud. He brings speed, work ethic and a great shot when it doesn’t sail high over the net. One could argue he is the near perfect third line center. Jarret will also be 30 years old and may also be on his last lucrative contract. Does he stay? I think so. I think Dean keeps him, he signs for $2.8 to $3.5 and he gets 3-4 years. Don’t be surprised if Jarret is signed well before he hits free agency. The only thing that was working against Jarret was our depth at center creeping up on him but a big part of that depth got traded away in Brayden Schenn. My guess on his cap hit? $3.2 with a performance bonus schedule.

To Scott Parse. It’s hard to believe Parse will be 27 years old next September. The LA Kings drafted him in 2004, only 163 spots behind the Kings’ 11th overall pick of Lauri Tukonen and look how well, bad, awful that turned out. If Scott Parse has a healthy and productive season, he will remain a LA King and will likely get $1.0 to $1.5 for a few years. If he does not, I don’t think the Kings will offer him anything that will be worth his while. The interesting dynamic with Parse is what may happen if he has a break out season, scores 15 + goals, 25 + assists and finally begins to reach that natural skill level potential everyone sees in him? This assumes he is not playing 5 minutes a game on the 4th line. Parse is not getting any younger but, assuming that happens, do you see Parse getting over $2 million from Dean if he finally reaches his potential?

Kevin Westgarth. If he stays consistent with last season, he stays at a slight pay raise. Not much more I have to offer on Westy.

The X factor is Willie Mitchell. Number 33 will be 34 years old next summer. The next contract will be his last contract. Healthy, he is worth every bit of $3 to $3.5 million. Therein lies the rub. To give Willie Mitchell 3 + years (which I believe he will want) at $3.5 is a risky move especially with so many potentially great defensemen in the pipeline pounding on the door. I will give you what may be an outside the box opinion and say, assuming he stays healthy, whether or not Willie stays or goes will depend on what we see from Martinez, Muzzin and Voynov. I wonder out loud if Dean makes a trade for a veteran D man and I question (absent a much better showing in the playoffs) if Matt Greene (ducking to avoid the object some of you just threw) is part of that trade since we have young D men ready to step in to that number 5 or 6 spot. I know, I know, you love him, I do too.

So, take away $3.2 for Stoll, $1.2 for Parse, $750,000 for Westgarth from $16 million and you have (rounded off) $11 million in cap space. If we keep Greene (which I hope we do as I hope he steps up his game, especially in the playoffs) and we replace Willie Mitchell with another veteran D of the same mold for about the same price (possibly more), that still leaves us around $10 million in cap space and a need at left wing, right?

So, what would Zach Parise cost?

GO KINGS!



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17 replies

  1. oh god not the Zach Paise sweep stakes!!! Kovalchuk? Richards? Parise? not sure if I could handle it all again

  2. Parise would make this team complete IMO. With a legit 1st line LW we would be beast.
    The guy has no quit in his game and is a Terry Murray type player. Perfect fit for the Kings.
    Its worth a trade at the deadline to get the rights which might put us over the hump in that year after year fail at signing an elite player.

  3. I can envision Parise’s name on the back of a beautiful Kings jersey. The thought of bringing him to L.A. gives me goosebumps.
    GKG!

  4. Parise isn’t coming out West.

    No sources needed. ;)

  5. I highly doubt Parse will be back. Also, Penner will screw it up somehow so we won’t sign him either. #3 centers don’t make $3.5 (Handzus was signed to be #2) so Stoll will come down to stay or take more and leave.

  6. Penner’s in a contract year…….Expect a Duck like season from him or he’ll only get the money he’s looking for from a rebuilding team, and he’s back to the Edmonton situation all over again.

    Stoll got us in the playoff’s last year…..100% L.A. Suits him, I would of taken Handzus over him if it wasn’t for his shootout prowess last season. BUT…Lewis is our future 3rd line center, or Lokti will have an incredible year and give us no reason to sign Stoll for a 4th line roll.

    Parse…….Really don’t give a shit about Parse, we talk and talk about injury prone players, and here’s a guy that has never been able to get started due to injuries. I don’t feel the Moulson factor with this guy, not even a Purcell or Boyle factor either. There will be injuries, so he will get one last shot a some point, that will be his final chance to shine here…….can he be our Marchand factor.

    WESTGARTH……..REALLY, How about everyone on the Kings roster starts standing up for one another and this Bozo hits the road. Terry Murray and his running 4 lines but wasting our 4th line as long as Westgarth is present. Can we just go out and find a Big man That can Contribute something . Guy’s like Rupp & such can losen pucks and have some form of hockey sence. Please let Jordan Nolan have a breakout season in Manchester……….

    Mitchell…….Won’t Shea Weber be available next year??? Trade Jack Move up the kids and sign Weber. Parise, nice, but we got kids coming up as well, and there are other scorers out there. Trading Greene ???????Are you insane….. Jack will get us more and HURT US LESS.

    Don’t forget, We need a TOP Goalie to win the cup, There has to be money and space to re-sign QUICK in 2013, Bernier is our chip, QUICK is our future.

    • Weber is still a RFA next off season.

    • Penner will certainly put on a good show in a contract year, given his history there must be underlying concern that he may well be a no show in the years following.

      Must consider face-offs when talking Stoll and Lokitionov.

      Never been a Westgarth booster but he finally showed some 4th line skill in the playoffs. I’d be interested to see if there is any carry over.

  7. Sorry Guys……Sometimes it’s good to just answer the f*ckin questions

    Penner…….Not the Big Name Draw, even if he scores 30+ goals, he’s gone
    Stoll………..Years vs Role vs Cap hit, I say it get’s worked out and he get’s 4 more years here
    He came here Damaged, Recovered and Survived, Lombardi rewarded Willie ( too much $$$ )
    but that’s Deano’s style, he fit’s the culture even more than Willie. We’ll lose a good or better prospect or two again due this. Age of Stoll & Willie vs Handzus is the deal maker.
    Parse………Marchand factor or BYE BYE
    Westgarth..Can’t have any lower a salary???? His cap hit will never hurt us, but his play….GONE
    Mitchell…..Missed some games last season, but with him in the lineup, we were very hard to play against. If he stay’s healthy it could be hard to see him go, because he will be hard to replace. Same with Handzus, too old for Deano to keep after recovery and presence. I hope this gives him a great chance at6 a good last contract somewhere. Love his persona, he lightens the load. Good luck Mitch.

  8. If Muzzin gets his defensive game to an even higher level or Andrew Campbell is ready to step in, then I can see Mitchell walking. Problem is I don’t see that happening by the start of 12-13.

    I think you bring back Stoll because he’s the perfect 3C and Mitchell for another year or two. Parse will walk and go score 30 goals for Winnipeg. Westgarth, yeah, he probably re-signs because Murray loves him some enforcers.

    Penner is the big X factor here. If Lombardi wants to take a swing at Parise, you can’t really re-sign Penner. The only problem: if you don’t get Parise we still have a hole at LW1.

  9. I think, of the players coming up for UFA status, Mitchell and Stoll are the two most likely to stay and are the two that contribute the most to the team. I think, if the Kings get past the first round of playoffs this year, it gets progressively easier to sign both of them at reduced cap hits.

    If the Kings plan on going hard after Parise, they need enough money to beat every other team’s offer (still no guarantee, but again, the further they go into the playoffs this year, the easier everything gets). I think this decision makes every other guy on the list of UFAs inconsequential until after Parise makes a decision. Penner would be the only guy possibly worth signing. He needs to have a good year. Green needs to stay on the team. And the Kings need to get past the first round. If all of that happens, Penner stays at a slightly lower cap hit that allows us to still go after Parise.

    To suggest that Parse, Frasier, or Westgarth will play any roll on this team’s success is just wishful thinking. Currently, all 3 are just spokes on the wheel, and to expect that any of them will start playing well enough to make themselves untouchable is crazy talk.

  10. *Throws a full…frozen beer can at scribes head for suggesting trading greener is a possibility*

Trackbacks

  1. Back from the Dead « lasportsscene
  2. What Does The Future Hold For Jarret Stoll? « S U R L Y & S C R I B E L.A. Kings Hockey Blog
  3. Zach Parise Must Come « S U R L Y & S C R I B E L.A. Kings Hockey Blog
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