What Will Willie Mitchell’s Rumored Extension Mean For The L.A. Kings?

The Mayor has heard it.

Matt Barry has heard it.

We have heard it.

Willie Mitchell is getting an extension soon.

He is 35 this April. Spring chicken he is not.

He does have a concussion history. He has been healthy this seasons. Knock wood. If the L.A. Kings past and luck is any indicator, within a few weeks of the ink being dry on that extension, we will lose Willie to the dreaded _____ body injury. You fill in the blank.

Mitchell has a cap hit of $3.5 million. That is a lot of dough for a mid 30′s defenseman but one thing Willie Mitchell brings to the L.A. Kings defense is consistency and respect. He and that extra long stick keep crashing forwards away and clear pucks from around the crease. While nobody will mistake him for Shea Weber, Willie is the reason offensive defenseman like Drew Doughty and, more recently, Slava Voynov can take the role of the active D1.

Willie has value. How much? Continue reading

Shea Weber & Ryan Suter Are Dangerous Men

The Nashville Predators are 9-1-0 in their last 10.

They have 64 points.

They are third in the Central Division, arguably the best division in the league at the moment (who would have thunk it) and only three points out first place in the entire NHL.

Impressive.

They have something like $14.4 million dollars in cap space.

Even more impressive.

They are also being held hostage by Shea Weber and Ryan Suter.

Weber’s words lead a reasonable person to believe he has no interest in signing anytime soon. Ryan Suter dropped the little bomb today that he won’t negotiate a contract before the trade deadline.

Both of them are using the “we want to see if the organization is committed to winning” line as the reason they have not signed.

Whatever. They want money, lots of it, Nashville’s financial situation is not stable and both want to play in a bigger and more secure market. Winning is part of that equation as well but the rest of it is not the “politically correct” thing to say. I doubt any of them would be honest enough to state, “we want a shit load of money from a big market team that has stable ownership and we just don’t see that in Nashville, no offense of course.”

So, what becomes of them? That is the subject of this article. Continue reading

The Nashville Predators Paid Pekka Rinne How Much?

7 years, $49 mother freaking million dollars? $7 million dollar per season cap hit? Have the Predators lost their collective minds?

He is 29 years old. His career GAA is 2.34. His career SV% is .920. He is a talented late bloomer. But $7 million?

My first question when I read the announcement: “Was his agent Jay Grossman or Don Meehan?” Turns out it was Jay Grossman. You remember our buddy, Jay, right? Kovalchuk? Yeah, that one. He appears to have a talent for getting his clients massive overpayments. Good for him although, like the prima donna Russian left wing, I am not so sure this is a good move for the team.

The Predators right now sit at less than $50 million in payroll. They are at the top of the league in frugality. They have an internal cap. That is what caused them to go to arbitration with stud defenseman, Shea Weber who will again be an RFA after this season. Are they going to pay Weber $7 million as well? And what about Ryan Suter who becomes a UFA after this season? He will want a big pay raise from the $3.5 per season he has received.  Continue reading

If Drew Doughty’s Contract Was For 5 Years, What Would You Pay Him?

So, Drew wants 5. He sure as hell doesn’t want 9 and has balked at 7. I would prefer 7. Actually, I would prefer as many UFA years taken away as possible, but we will put that on the “want but won’t get” list.

$7 million cap hit for 5 years? Stamkos got $7.5 per season ($37.5 total) for 5, right? Some look at Weber’s 1 year award as the benchmark but I wonder if Steven Stamkos (another Don Meehan client) is the measuring stick with which Newport Sports Management wishes to beat Dean Lombardi down.

Do you go there? I don’t. No way do I give Drew that kind of money or absorb a $7.5 million dollar cap hit for a short-term deal. I know why Drew would want it. It’s his ideal scenario. Big dollars followed by the potential of bigger UFA dollars. Pretty sure a deal can’t be win-lose if it is going to be compromise between two positions. Is there a win-win here?

Don’t fret too much if you hear Dean has made take it or leave it offers or the parties are at a serious impasse. Funny thing about take it or leave it offers is they can change with one phone call, one concession, or one act of good faith. Everyone, please keep your feet off the negotiation table. Nobody goes into negotiations of this magnitude for it to fail. Everyone wants a deal…there is that word want again.

Back to the original question – 5 years. What do you give?

Part II of Surly & Scribe’s Chat With Helene Elliott

Picking up where Part I of the Helene Elliott interview left off, here we go…

Scribe: You are the one handling the Doughty negotiations. G.M. Elliott, what is he worth, dollars, cap hit, years?

Elliott: You know what, it’s a two-way street. You are not negotiating in a vacuum. You are negotiating against a very savvy, and experienced agent in Don Meehan who is going to obviously maximize every dollar he can get for his guy. You look around and there is no comparable. People have said Dion Phaneuf and you look at some of the other numbers that have gone around. There is really nobody in the exact situation. We saw Doughty struggle for some of last season but we also know he can be brilliant at times. He is a franchise defenseman and you don’t find those in a lot of places. You also have to look at your payroll and see whose contracts are up over the next couple of seasons, you have to talk to your boss and say, “hey look, how far are you going to let me go with this?” You have a lot of factors, you have a new CBA coming that you don’t know what the terms are going to be in terms of free agency and all that. There are a lot of moving parts here and it is not an easy job.

Scribe: But if you had to make a decision and you had to put a ceiling on it, what ceiling do you put on it?

Elliott: I see no problem putting him at the level of an Anze Kopitar.

Scribe: Do you know what Doughty wants?

Elliott: Lots and lots and lots and lots of money.

Scribe: If you are Doughty’s agent, are you demanding $7.5?

Elliott: Doesn’t mean I am going to get it but when you sell your house, don’t you ask for a lot of money and know you will settle for something less? That is part of negotiating. You ask for the moon and you settle for a small asteroid. It’s an interesting situation. Drew Doughty is such a rare player. A franchise defenseman. Yes, we know he has his faults but he is 21 years old. He is going to get the idea you have to come into camp in better condition and if he does, can you imagine what he is going to be like?

Scribe: We saw a glimpse of it in year number two.

Elliott: Absolutely.

Scribe: L.A. may be getting a football team. Will you be the L.A. Times sports columnist covering the team?

Elliott: Football? No.

Scribe: What do you think generally of L.A. getting a football team again and what impact it may have on L.A.?

Elliott: I think that is an interesting question that I don’t have an answer for. We have had it pretty good here without having a team, without the blackouts, you get games here so fans have been happy. The quality of my life has not been lessened by the absence of an NFL team but a lot of people would like to see one here. It’s going to be interesting to see how it will be covered with a shrinking paper staff, shrinking space in the paper but I am sure the web presence would be very heavy and you may never see Jim Hill at a hockey game again.

Scribe: Do you consider yourself a Kings’ fan or an objective sports columnist?

Elliott: I cannot be a fan of a team, I am a fan of the game. You cannot go into this being a fan of any specific team. You have to like the game, the people. You know, I get emails from Ducks’ fans accusing me of being a Kings’ fan and emails from Kings’ fans accusing me of being a Ducks’ fan, you have to keep it down the middle and just be a fan of the game rather than any team.

Scribe: Hmm…so, if I ask you whether you are an Anaheim Ducks’ fan or an unfortunate victim in the unavoidable circumstance of covering that team and those were your only two choices, your answer would be?

Elliott: [laughs] Neither.

Scribe: That is too bad. Alright. How is that Anschutz interview request coming along?

Elliott: [Laughs] Yeah. I still would like it known that I did the last known interview with him in 1996 or 1997. I have it buried in the archives somewhere.

Scribe: Do you know what the most important question you would ask Phil Anschutz would be just in case Jacob and I get the interview first?

Elliott: [Pause] Oh, so you can steal my question? [laughs] [Pause] “How committed are you to making the Los Angeles Kings a winning team?” “How committed are you to continuing to own this team?”

Scribe: Where do you think the Kings will finish in the West?

Elliott: You know, it’s just really too early to say. You look at Phoenix and they lose Bryzgalov. Anaheim is not sure if Selanne is going to be back plus their goaltending remains in question and you don’t know what their goaltending situation is going to be with Hiller’s problems last season. I think we need to get a little into training camp and see how things shake out before you can make predictions. The Blackhawks have made some interesting moves and I am curious to see how they will bounce back.

Scribe: Were you surprised they signed Patrick Sharp?

Elliott: No. I think that was a brilliant move. You want him to be there. He is a cornerstone.

Scribe: Shea Weber. Does he stay a Predator?

Elliott: I doubt it.

Scribe: Do they trade him?

Elliott: It’s a cross roads in their existence. They have some free agents coming up and it’s a small market, a small but very fervent fan base. They don’t have maybe the corporate support teams in bigger cities like New York or Philly do. I love it there. It’s a great atmosphere and you really have to give an awful lot of credit to David Poile and Barry Trotz for continuing to build a contending team each year. Look at the defensemen the Predators have developed and brought into the league. They have done an incredible job. At some point, a player like Shea Weber will want to know, “look, are you going to spend a little more, are you committed to building an elite team here or are you going to continue to keep a small payroll?”, in which case you really can’t blame the guy for moving on.

Scribe: Now, if this Hall of Fame journalism thing bored you and you needed a change, tell our readers where a stint with Surly & Scribe would be at the top of your list?

Elliott: Oh, gosh, that would be my second choice.

Scribe: Because you know, we do pay in accolades and we would even put your name on the letterhead. Would that motivate you?

Elliott: If you spelled my name right.

[laughter]

Scribe: What would be your first choice, because I am somewhat offended?

Elliott: Move to an island, one of the Hawaiian Islands and string flowers for lei necklaces.

Scribe: You could do both, be on that Island and still write with us.

Elliott: Ok. That would work.

Scribe: I will find a way to make that happen…Helene, I have never heard Jacob this quiet. Jacob, are you still there?

[laughter]

Surly: I am listening.

Helene: He is so fascinated, he cannot possibly add anything…

Scribe: This level of silence has never happened before. This is a momentous occasion.

Helene: I am witnessing history.

Surly: Would this be the conclusion of your questions, Bobby?

Scribe: Yes it would.

Surly: Alright. Well, Helene, thank you for talking to us and if I may now commence my speaking portion of this interview…coming from being a Kings’ fans from the early 90’s, you have taken me through my entire career of being a hockey fan. You have never been afraid to speak your mind about the Kings. You have criticized sharply and praised highly. Could you explain your approach to editorializing and the place you believe it has in your profession?

Elliott: Well, I am in a different situation than most writers. I am a columnist. It is a columnist’s job to issue an opinion, to come up with an opinion as opposed to a straight news story. That confuses a lot of people and it may not be the best situation in the world to operate under because it confuses some readers but when I have that little drawing next to my name, that means I am a columnist and it is my obligation to write an opinion…and I think in anything other than a straight news story, I am watching a game, there are 82 games, to write every one as a straight news story doesn’t serve our readers. I think you need to analyze, look at someone over the course of a season and ask if so and so is progressing, do they still have the same powerplay problems, why do they have the same powerplay problems? I think it can work, in the sense of, it keeps players and it keeps management responsible. They have something and someone to be accountable to…at least I hope so.

Surly: How has the influx of blogs, Facebook and especially Twitter affected the way you do your job and do you find any danger in such short form reporting?

Elliott: A lot of danger. I think sometimes you try to express something in 140 characters and it lacks context. Sometimes you go for speed and you lose perspective. The immediacy of Twitter is great. You find something out, you tippy tap it and it’s out there but it is also important, the accuracy, and perspective is important and that is one of the things that is lost quite often.

Surly: If you could go back to the days where you only had to worry about the morning deadline for the paper, would you?

Elliott: Well, no. The way we get information now has changed so much. It used to be, as you say, you moved toward the deadline and if you missed it, that was it, the paper went to the press and if something changed or something to follow up on, you just waited two days later and then you got to it then. Now, there is the website, blogs, Twitter, there are so many different ways to disseminate information, people are so much more informed now than they used to be and there are so many more avenues for us. You used to get how ever many inches in the newspaper and that was it. Now, you can write blogs that are longer and give different perspective and more informal than the paper and fans like to see more and there is no room in the paper for it so you can put it on the web. It serves everyone.

Scribe: We adore you. Always a pleasure. Thank you so much for talking to us and I hope you won’t mind if we bug you throughout the season for a chat here or there.

Elliott: Not at all.

Scribe: You are the best. Take care, Helene.

Elliott: Take care guys.

As I wrote at the end of the interview last year, quality never goes out of style. Helene Elliott is a quality individual and columnist. We are very lucky to have her. GO KINGS!

Surly & Scribe Chat With Helene Elliott, Part I

I had the pleasure of interviewing Helene Elliott on September 19 of last year. If you have not read it, you are missing out. My goal then was to get to know the experienced and decorated L.A. Times Sports Columnist whom L.A. Kings fans applaud or frown toward for her no-nonsense articles. She was warm, charming, classy and so very generous with her time and the interview brought perspective to the person behind the opinions. This year, we again caught up with Helene. From Mike Richards and Simone Gagne to the Ryan Smyth trade, Dustin Penner’s off season, the pursuit of Brad, the Drew Doughty contract drama, and so many recent and continuing stories, we had much to discuss. Surly joined me in the interview and, on August 5, we chatted with the Hockey Hall of Fame journalist. You’re in for a treat. Here is part I of the interview. Part II will come tomorrow.

Scribe: We talked in September of last year. You identified the center and wing positions as the L.A. Kings’ greatest needs, in that order. With Mike Richards, Dustin Penner and Simone Gagne, assuming Gagne stays healthy, do you consider those needs addressed?

Dustin Penner at Kings Practice

Elliott: Depends on which Penner we see this season. Do we see the Penner we saw last season who wasn’t in tip-top shape, to put it mildly, or do we see the Penner who comes into camp in shape, playing for a contract and inspired, the one who uses that size, uses those hands and contributes.

Scribe: Do you consider Penner’s production to be more or less important to the Kings’ success than the issue of Gagne and his health?

Elliott: I think Penner is a key because of the size and because he has had 30 goals seasons before. I do believe he is the key in a lot of ways. Losing Ryan Smyth is not something the Kings planned on. But, even if Ryan Smyth had returned, they would have needed to add some production from the wing. I would like to see more speed on the wings but Dean does not seem to think it is as important as I do and we will let him be the General Manager and see how it turns out.

Scribe: Let’s talk about Gagne. He can skate and has the speed but his health has continued to be a question. Categorize his health. Do you consider him a “big if”, such that you would be surprised if he remains healthy or is he akin to any other player, no more prone to injuries than anyone else?

Elliott: The fact that he came back at the end of last season, played and played well means there is less of a concern at this point. He did play high-caliber hockey and you look at his numbers, they were pretty good. I don’t think there is any carry over from last season and I wonder when you talk about a player who is injury prone, like a Justin Williams, well, is there a common thread here? Is there a knee that he is always injuring or a shoulder or something chronic and there really isn’t. These are just guys who aren’t the biggest guys, they are going to get hit, they are going to suffer shoulder, knee and all kinds of injuries. Hockey is a dangerous game and it’s going to happen. I don’t think there is more worry for a player like Gagne than anybody else.

Scribe: Justin Williams is the definition of freak injuries, Helene. I swear he is going to have a left ear injury that will cause him to miss games.

Elliott: [laughs] That would not surprise me.

Scribe: Dean Lombardi and one of his favorite people, Paul Holmgren, called the Mike Richards trade a “good hockey trade,” expressing it was a win-win for both teams. Do you agree?

Elliott: What are they going to say? What do you expect them to say? “Gee, I really had some worries about this, but I did it anyway?” The thing that disturbed me is they brought Mike Richards into town for a press or news conference and I saw a tweet from Richards afterward and it said, I was in town for three days and all they did was ask me about that garbage, referring to the Dry Island stuff. I was at that press conference and there were other questions besides that. If he is complaining about that, this is going to be a very long season.

Scribe: What are your thoughts about the trade itself? Were you surprised?

Elliott: In a way, yeah. It was more likely that Carter was on the block than Richards. In the last three years we have seen whispers about leadership and most of the time, the whispers are not true but sometimes there is a germ of truth to it and I think we are going to find out this season.

Scribe: The overwhelming majority of Kings’ fans love the trade. There is a vocal minority who declare trading Schenn was a mistake and it goes against Dean Lombardi’s claim of building from within. They say, “what is the point of drafting good players high in the draft if you are just going to trade them?” What are your thoughts on that?

Elliott: I got emails from people that said Schenn is going to be a Hall of Famer. I went, “whoa, calm down here.” [laughing]. “I get it, you don’t like the trade, but let’s blow this into proportion, please.” It is an interesting move for a GM who came into a team where there was no depth, whose motto was to build through the draft but Dean believes, and maybe right or wrong, this team has reached another stage, this team has progressed to the point where you take these assets, where you take these draft picks and you turn those into the needs or pieces that will fill the needs that you have and have not been able to fulfill any other way. I am not quite sure they are as far advanced as Dean thinks they are but we’ll find out.

Scribe: Were you surprised the Kings went after Brad Richards after landing Mike?

Elliott: I was a little surprised. They certainly had the cap room to do it but I also was not surprised when he went somewhere else. There is still that problem of luring premium free agents here that hasn’t quite been solved. As much as the team has improved, they still need to get over that hump of making sure players believe this is a good place to play and this is a place they can win.

Scribe: Do you see anything other than a Stanley Cup or, at least, another round in the Finals doing that?

Elliott: Probably not. Although, having Mike Richards come here could help. He is a credible player around the league and for him to be here may say a lot to other players but they need to go more than a round. Look at last season and I think you can say, if it was not a step backward, it was certainly a step sideways. Statistically, they were not off by much but when you watch this team and watch it progress as long as we all have, there was that sense they should have gone further than one round.

Scribe: Last season did feel a bit like a country line dance didn’t it, as we ended in the same place?

Elliott: Absolutely. You can say, “we lost to a very good team,” etcetera but at what point do you stop making the excuses and just make the progress?

Scribe: Are the Kings a better team today than they were last season?

Elliott: That is impossible to say. Right now, Drew Doughty is not under contract.

Scribe: Assume he is under contract.

Elliott: I am curious to see what happens on the powerplay. Gagne should certainly play a big role there. Remember in losing Ryan Smyth, they lost a player who is slow, yes, aging, yes, but he stood in front of the net, took punishment and led the team in powerplay goals. I wonder who is going to replace that?

Scribe: Assuming Drew Doughty signs, comes into camp in shape, are the L.A. Kings skilled enough on paper to be a contender, that term being defined as top four?

Elliott: I would still like to see more speed, frankly. Look at the teams that went far into the playoffs. Except for depth up the middle, which the Kings may very well have now, you will see speed and I don’t see a whole lot of it here. I think this season, they have to go deeper than one round.

Scribe: Do you want to see more speed in the top six, bottom six or both?

Elliott: Top six. The bottom six is your grinders, role players, look around the other teams in the division, you will see speed in a lot of places but you really need it in the top six.

Scribe: Your initial reaction when you learned Ryan Smyth asked for a trade for “family reasons”?

Elliott: You know, I understand he has to do what is best for his family. My only question with it was how he handled it by initially denying that he asked for a trade. He spoke with Jim Matheson of the Edmonton Journal and his quote was something like, “holy cow! I never asked for a trade!” and I thought that was badly done. He could have said, “you know what, my family just prefers to be in Canada and I am going to honor that request.” Nobody is going to begrudge him for making his family happy.

Scribe: How did you think it was going to turn out when you first heard about it?

Elliott: You knew from the start the Kings were going to be at a disadvantage. Immediately. Everyone in the world knows this guy wants out plus he had the right to approve where he was going to go and he wanted to go to Edmonton. So, the market was limited and Dean Lombardi had very little leverage. At that point, the best outcome for Lombardi was to clear salary cap space and that is what he tried to do.

Scribe: Which led us to this interesting grievance that has now been filed. Do you consider this Lombardi v. Tambellini grievance a fascinating subplot or something less?

Elliott: I think it is an interesting look at how NHL teams operate, whether it is Lombardi v. Tambellini I am not sure, but you look at it and the first player they were going to take, Brule, was not procedurally cleared to play and they give him another guy and you say, “you know what, it’s Lombardi’s fault, he should have been sure Fraser was ready,” and Lombardi himself admitted he just signed off on it, because it was the Sunday night after the draft, they wanted to get out of town, Tambellini had assured him Fraser was going to be cleared to play within the next few days so Lombardi was going to sign off on it and there it went. But, it also becomes a trust and honesty issue. Every NHL team has an obligation when they trade a player to turn over that player’s medical records and to accurately represent what that player’s medical situation is going to be. According to the Kings, that is not what the Oilers did.

Scribe: Here comes a tough one…

Elliott: Oh oh…

Scribe: You are the Kings GM

Elliott: [laughs] Oh oh…

This seems like a good place to stop Part I of the interview. Part II will come tomorrow.

(all photos by the wonderful Kasey Spatz)

Source: Drew Doughty Offer Is 7 Years At Or About $52 million

I had to wait until the shock wore off before I posted this.

We are told Doughty’s agents, Don Meehan and Mark Guy, have the LA Kings’ most recent offer. From what we are told, this may do it although, as of right now, it is not signed. It’s an offer, nothing more. There is no final “deal” yet. I told you earlier that there are 2 potential offers on the table, one for 9 years and one for 7. I have now learned that the 7 year deal may be the winner and it comes in at or about $52 million. At $52 million, that is a staggering $7.42 million per season cap hit. That is Weber money. That is Stamkos money. Was one or both the benchmark? We have not heard whether or not there is any NTC or NMC in this offer.

My jaw dropped when I heard the number. My initial reaction was there must be some mistake and this is what Doughty’s agents offered Dean, not the other way around.

Surly & I are trying to wrap our head around this. We will give you our opinions in a separate article. If we hear any more information along the way, we will of course let you know. For now, where is the Advil?

GO KINGS!

Shea Weber’s Award Does Not Translate to Drew Doughty’s Contract, Part II

After Shea Weber’s arbitration award of $7.5 million came down, I wrote the following in an August 3 article entitled Shea Weber, Drew Doughty & Market Value:

Shea Weber received an award of $7.5 million for one season. That makes him literally the highest paid defenseman in the league. For one season. That does not establish “market” value for top defensemen who seek contracts for more than a season, anymore than Surly getting lucky with a hot, drunk, 20 something year old blonde who is angry at her ex boyfriend, on one random night establishes his target market for the rest of his potential scores. It does not “raise” the market value for any player that will enter into a multi-year contract. Only the “market” does that and that market includes other contracts, with specific multi-year terms, for reasonably comparable players at or about the same age. If the years go up, then the cap hit must come down, at least in this circumvention by any other name era. Are any of those in the $7.5 million dollar range? No.

Others claimed that whatever Drew Doughty was asking for just went up and even went so far as to proclaim the market for all defensemen went up. Exaggerated? Absurd. From the NY Post today via Puck Daddy:

Finally, an arbitrator who did more than split the difference between a club’s submission and the player’s. Finally, an arbitrator who did more than color by numbers upon reaching his decision.

… the arbitrator reached his decision based on the compensation due Keith and Seabrook this coming season, including signing bonuses, rather than on their respective cap hits over the course of their long-term contracts. This was not about a multi-year deal; this was about compensation for 2011-12.

There is an old adage in the legal business that sometimes all it takes is an a-hole and a filing fee to file a lawsuit. So, I suppose arguments (like opinions) resemble that hole in some respects and anybody, even an experienced agent, can make an argument for his client using an inapplicable and irrelevant precedent. However, intelligent and not reactionary discourse dictates that a 1 year contract for an elite defenseman does not “raise” the financial bar for all elite D, much less every Tom, Dick & Harry D-man. The arbitrator correctly gave Shea Weber $7.5 million because he recognized what you do as well – if the “years” are going to be less (or, in this case, all of 1), then the dollars will be more for one of the best in this game. Years get longer, dollars get less.

It was nice reading something from Larry Brooks that didn’t give me a small migraine. That was a bonus. GO KINGS!

Drew Doughty Contract Negotiation Update

So, Drew Doughty wants a long-term deal & Dean Lombardi prefers that as well though a back up mid-term agreement (5 years) is still in play. Drew Doughty wants a specific type of cash distribution throughout the long-term deal plus veto power on any trade so he can choose his destination but Lombardi wants to keep the cash more steady from one year to another and needs a more flexible no movement or no trade clause, depending on the rest of the terms…including getting rid of the NMC/NTC all together if the deal makes sense for L.A. I am not publishing the cash distribution component of this out of respect for the ongoing negotiations. That is the most recent Doughty update as of 6:59pm tonight when I got this news. I still have not heard whether the Shea Weber arbitration award blew up or otherwise modified the deal in principle and until I hear otherwise, nothing has changed in that regard.

I told you recently about deadlines and patience wearing thin. It’s still wearing. In fact, the rubber is almost off the tires and, in a few miles, we are going to start seeing sparks fly. When one sees “accommodating” as a sign of weakness and starts making unreasonable or overreaching demands and draws negotiations out longer than necessary, that person should not be surprised when amenable becomes withdrawn and cautious…which further causes delays.

Finally, we are at the 11th hour. The two sides are too close for this to fall apart…but, and this is a big but, if it does fall apart, metal will meet concrete on the open road. I don’t think it’s going to get there. This will get done. GO KINGS!

Shea Weber, Drew Doughty & Market Value

As panic fills the streets of Kings’ fans minds over Shea Weber’s arbitration award of $7.5 million and the potentially devastating impact it may have on Drew Doughty’s contract (impact ranging from “Drew will want $7.5 million!” to “Oh my God, oh my God, oh my God”), let us each take the Lotus Position, shut our eyes and breathe…now, hum from your center the words Dreeeeeeewww…Dreeeeeewww…good. Open your eyes.

Shea Weber received an award of $7.5 million for one season. That makes him literally the highest paid defenseman in the league. For one season. That does not establish “market” value for top defensemen who seek contracts for more than a season, anymore than Surly getting lucky with a hot, drunk, 20 something year old blonde who is angry at her ex boyfriend, on one random night establishes his target market for the rest of his potential scores. It does not “raise” the market value for any player that will enter into a multi-year contract. Only the “market” does that and that market includes other contracts, with specific multi-year terms, for reasonably comparable players at or about the same age. If the years go up, then the cap hit must come down, at least in this circumvention by any other name era. Are any of those in the $7.5 million dollar range? No.

Brian Campbell is an abortion inducing $7.14 million dollar cap hit. I don’t think Campbell’s contract is an example of anything other than one of the dumbest in league history.

Zdeno Chara, age 34, is at $6.9 million. Comparable? I hear he was paid by the inch.

Jay Bouwmeester at $6.68 million: That contract may be an example of how paying too much, too soon may ruin the player. I just turned around to see if Dean Lombardi whispered that in my ear.

No need to go further down the list. Why? Because the LA Kings offered Drew “more than” $6.5 million dollars for 9 years. Therefore, Dean Lombardi has told Don Meehan and Mark Guy he believes Drew’s market value to be at or “more than” (if I recall the article quote correctly) $6.5 million.

Do we really believe any agent can reasonably (the term being relative) affix a bottom line $7.5 million dollar contract demand for mid or long-term years, thereby eclipsing, for all purposes, Shea Weber’s one year arbitration award and making Drew Doughty the highest paid defenseman in the league? The very same Shea Weber that is his team’s leader, has been the picture of consistency for the past three seasons and has played in the league for 6 seasons? That is older and an all around better player today than Drew (not bad for a 2nd round pick, eh?) While Duncan Keith and Brent Seabrook have cap hits (though not necessarily present dollars) of less than $6 million?

This Shea Weber?

King Leonidas

Weber?

Oops…

Shea Weber

Weber

I don’t believe Drew is looking to make history here, partly because the second to last substantive word we got is that the Kings and Drew had an agreement reached in principle (which, as a reminder to a select few, is not the same thing as a done deal and involves necessary further discussions). Now, fellow writer, Quisp, offers an interesting twist on this. He wrote today that whatever Drew Doughty was asking for, just went up. I will wait to hear from our source on that issue but, as of August 2 at 8:47 am , the word was “very close” and it is in Dean Lombardi’s hands. Quisp better be wrong. If he is right, I will let you know…and then consider beating him up.

Shea Weber is not an indication of Drew Doughty’s market value. He never was. So, relax about Drew Doughty.

Stamkos Inked, Doughty Blotted

The first RFA hammer of summer 2011 has fallen as the Tampa Bay Lightning announced today that Steven Stamkos has signed a 5 year deal worth 37.5 million smackaroos.   That’s $7.5 per year for remedial math students or those of you who have a grudge against calculators.  Good for Yzerman, good the lightning, fair for the NHL.

But is this good for the Kings?  Does it even factor in to the prolonged and last heard stalled negotiations between Lombardi and Doughty?

I will venture to say this is good.  Not great.  Not special.  But good, in that it’s minutely beyond nonplussed and lacking the requisite suck quotient to be bad.  $7.5 million per year is not outrageous.  High, extremely high, but not some pain in the ass Ovechkin contract.  I believe the 5 years includes one UFA year for Stamkos.  However the money and term themselves likely have little to do with Doughty.  Though the two young studs were drafted back to back, they have had very different developmental curves aside from the obvious big difference that one scores goals and the other “hip checks the shit out of” people.  What we have to hope for here is not a comparable in Stamkos, but a domino effect for RFAs.

Shea Weber and Zach Parise remain the other two big fish in small or really stinky ponds, respectively, waiting for new contracts.  While those two either struggle to avoid or sit patiently and wait for an arbitration hearing, Doughty’s head agent Don Meehan now has one less thing to worry about and one more big paycheck in his snakeskin-lined pocket.  Though the word is that Lombardi has been the one biding his time with Doughty (with a dash of logic pointing to the Shea Weber arbitration as a reason why), I can’t help but imagine Drew’s agency won’t be making a stronger push to get their other golden apple signed before it falls out of season… by starting the season… the hockey season.  Get it?  Me neither.

I think my point is that I really don’t care about Stamkos or his shiny new contract and that I’ve been bored having nothing to write about for a week.

What’s your point?

CHANNELING RAGE – KINGS v. PREDATORS PREVIEW

Every smug face at the gym today looked like Steen…and forced me to turn away or risk imminent assault. At the gas station, a fifty something year old man with a St. Louis Rams hat walked to his truck…I suppressed the temptation of spraying him with the gas pump and launching a match. I must manage this anger at the 6-4 loss Thursday night. Medicine lies in tonight’s game.

The Predators. They are 8-0-2 in their last 10. Hunchback…blowback…camelback…Lindback, that’s the misbegotten name of Nashville’s goaltender who has danced with success the past several games. Bernier is expected to start for our soldiers. He is at the very center of my prayers. His success is the Kings’ success or Murray may ride Quick into the ground like he did last season.

Nashville touts 40 points, 6 of which are of the OT variety. They have played two more games than the Kings. Their powerplay sucks, their penalty killing is right there with ours and they otherwise match up pretty well with L.A. They also possess the no talent punk my fist to his face, Shane O’Brien, and pretty slick forwards in Steve Sullivan, Martin Erat and Cal O’Reilly. On defense is my favorite Pred, Shea Weber.

We don’t have Mitchell. I am still unclear as to whether we have Matt Greene. That’s a #2 and potentially our #5 off the defensive roster. Poni heads to the fourth line, which is amusing because two good shifts will get him right back to the third.

Will the Kings score first and gain the momentum? Will Kopitar and Brown continue their torrid scoring pace? Will Williams and Stoll regain their scoring touch? Which Drew Doughty will show up? Will Jack bring the mother f’ing Johnson on both ends of the ice? Will Clifford drop them with TooToo? Will Bernier shine brighter than hatchback? Will we win so I can forget about Thursday?

I think we will and I do know this. If the Kings lose tonight, God help the first bastard I see wearing a cowboy hat or humming a Garth Brooks tune.

LET’S GO KINGS!!!

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